Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 4.533865 4.883876 5.261311 5.700940 6.201985 6.758934 7.430070
2025-07-27 4.053755 4.548035 5.118000 5.833571 6.722404 7.810772 9.278763
2025-08-03 3.702230 4.263989 4.941010 5.836065 7.019473 8.580596 10.892191
2025-08-10 3.394764 3.981648 4.711297 5.712861 7.100984 9.043112 12.152801
2025-08-17 3.138332 3.731817 4.487416 5.555530 7.093110 9.352603 13.227495
2025-08-24 2.953871 3.555353 4.337522 5.473123 7.166626 9.775603 14.570325
2025-08-31 2.844873 3.466806 4.293391 5.527571 7.439310 10.543176 16.727707
2025-09-07 2.737754 3.371479 4.229590 5.542492 7.646235 11.231236 18.959031
2025-09-14 2.579246 3.195811 4.039884 5.350210 7.493394 11.257285 19.796180
2025-09-21 2.459121 3.066371 3.907220 5.232628 7.448457 11.469566 21.133467
2025-09-28 2.366359 2.969937 3.815557 5.169821 7.486803 11.842840 23.012584
2025-10-05 2.294969 2.899774 3.757515 5.154334 7.603861 12.390929 25.612839
2025-10-12 2.255852 2.875904 3.769712 5.258554 7.959929 13.538192 30.778992
2025-10-19 2.219523 2.854299 3.784073 5.368106 8.343700 14.856714 37.752239
2025-10-26 2.160342 2.795890 3.737789 5.369618 8.516890 15.728276 44.011482
2025-11-02 2.080779 2.703600 3.633443 5.261545 8.455120 15.995861 47.920837
2025-11-09 1.999992 2.606356 3.516651 5.123359 8.315927 16.032589 50.801472
2025-11-16 1.938679 2.536160 3.439564 5.050866 8.307435 16.429208 56.376505
2025-11-23 1.906645 2.508935 3.429688 5.098772 8.563516 17.652864 69.769652
2025-11-30 1.869445 2.472199 3.402298 5.111893 8.744281 18.716347 85.311406
2025-12-07 1.798317 2.380825 3.281601 4.942592 8.490817 18.336989 86.665761
2025-12-14 1.743560 2.313272 3.197830 4.838845 8.380770 18.415399 93.630516
2025-12-21 1.701046 2.263379 3.141260 4.783360 8.378025 18.859912 106.926487